Friday, November 13, 2015

What If South Korea Won The Korean War (Part 1)

Korean War are ended in 1953, with no obvious winner. The border before the war and after the war it don't experience extreme changes. Because that, I will write this in 2 part, one if South Korea win and the second is how if North Korea win the war. So, stay tune!

Syngman Rhee
1. Whole Korean Land Are Below Syngman Rhee Regime
Syngman Rhee is the president of South Korea, from 1948-1960. He is can be compared to Kim-Il-Sung, it North Korea's opponents. Still, even if his dictatorship are not as severe as North Korea dictatorship, he still have some "reputation", such as suppressing Jeju Uprising, killed 14.373 people, 86 percent of death is because government anti-communist force.
So, how if he can control whole Korean? The communist people at North Korea will be suppressed, the Communist people are become an object of massacre. Hundreds of thousands people can be killed by Syngman Rhee regime's troops. The other communist, are flee to China and Russia. The communist that don't become massacre object, or flee to China, are live in concentration camp, or hiding in mountains and forest waiting when the Communist back to power.

Korean maps
2. China Position Are Threatened.
With Korea in pro-America regime hands, the US can easily attack China via land, and attacked it from the air. Attack China from Korea is far more easy than attack from Japan. If US attack China from Japan, it troops must face very long journey across Sea of Japan, and the history says amphibious assault are have very expensive cost, thousands of people die and many vehicle are destroyed. Attacking via air is also difficult, the US combat plane can't reach inner China from Japan.
If US attack via Korea, it can save many live. US can using large number of troops, not like amphibious assault that can only using small number of troops. And if US attacking China using plane, it can reach inner part of China. One of other tactics is attack China from Korea and Japan at the same time, thus making China attacked from 2 side. Using this strategy, US can conquer China easily.

UN force at its peak position
3. Korea Development Will be Faster
South Korea and North Korea, if compared, like Earth and Neptune. South Korea are one of most democratic nations, at the 21st ranking from 167 countries that being surveyed (Economist Intelligence Unit). Meanwhile the North Korea is the world most undemocratic countries, 167th ranking from 167th countries that being surveyed (Economist Intelligence Unit). South Korea are in 15th ranking for Human Development Index. Meanwhile, you can guessed it, North Korea will be in bottom place if it's included in HDI survey (North Korea doesn't included in this survey, because not enough data).
So, what if North Korea under South Korea government? It economy will be still under Southern part of Korea, but it's lot better than North Korea under Kim-Il-Sung.

China-North Korea border
4. Chinese Attack Threat!
Because China has losses it position at Korea Peninsula, it's not impossible if China want a revenge. China, helped with Soviet Union and North Korean army that takes refugee at China. China was notable for its large army, the Soviet Union have high technology, and North Korea Army have high nationalism. But, because Korea is protected by USA and it ally, the war between these nations are only reach border war state. It border maybe only change for 8-10 km, and these will be stalemate. These war maybe reach the end of China patient and China attacked Pyongyang, Seoul, and Busan with it nuclear weapon. After first strike, America, is will counterattack the China, by launching it Peacekeeper and Minuteman missile to China largest city, Beijing and Shanghai. This war will happens for few moment, and it stop if China and Korean land turned into radioactive land and hundreds of crater are spreads around this two countries.

Monday, November 9, 2015

What If USSR Won The Cold War

So, this time I will Change the World History. So, this series will be pretty long, I don't know how long, let the time answered it. So, as you know, US is wining the Cold War and now USSR are crumbling down and becoming 15 different countries. So, how if USSR winning the Cold War? Note: This aren't political post. It just analysis from me if something happens. Enjoy it.


Communism at glorious day
1. The World Will Be Filled With Communist.
At it most glorious day, communism can controlling around 22 states, or around 12% from all countries in the world. It's pretty much, right? Yes, but at this scenario the communist can own most, if not all of the world land.
     Maybe Canada and USA become communist state, under Canadian People Republic and Democratic People Republic of United States. Whole American continent is lead by communist party. At the Europe, all countries become communist, except maybe Switzerland, Monaco, Vatican City, Liechtenstein, and other small European countries. Asia, it controlled by Communist, except maybe New Zealand. Africa, this continent turned into red, with no exception. The democratic government are established Government In Exile at Switzerland. But, okay, in real live this never being happens because USSR is now has crumbling into 15 countries. So, the world has been controlled by communism. What will happen?

President election at India
2. Democratic Election Become History
Yeah, all communist country are one-party country, you can guess it, Communist Party. In many Communist country, you will face presidential election with only one candidate, so, you only able to choose that candidates. And, guess it, if there's any other party, maybe it only puppet party from the Communist Party. The puppet party only never able to move freely, it controlled by the puppet master, that's, Communist Party.
   So, the democratic republic are never able to existed again. Maybe the country name is still have the word "democratic", but it isn't. One of the example are DPRK. Don't be fooled with Democratic People Republic of Korea, that "democratic" is just existed in name, not in the reality. In fact, DPRK are own the world most undemocratic country record, at most time in 21st century.

3.  Personal Ownership is Become Extinct
Okay, lets look the "communism" word meaning. "Communism" word is formed from communal and ism. Communal meaning is :
a. Of, belonging to, or shared by the people of a community; public
b. Marked by collective ownership and control of goods and property.
Meanwhile, the ism, is: 
Used to form names of a tendency of behaviour, action, state, condition or opinion belonging to a class or group of persons; the result of a doctrine, ideology or principle or lack thereof. 
So, the communism means: 
  1. Any political philosophy or ideology advocating holding the production of resources collectively.
  2. Any political social system that implements a communist political philosophy.
  3. The international socialist society where classes and the state no longer exist.
Look at number 3 at communism meaning, "society where classes and the state no longer exist". That was self explanatory, so this will be bad for you, Bill Gates. Because the communism ideology is mainly equality to all people (at extreme way), the rich people must give his richness into government and (if the government not corrupt) the government give that to the poorer people. If you have real estate, you must give it to government. So, simple, but annoying right?
Problem at communist country, the most problem is about corruption

4. Economy Inequality Decrease
Even if this looks like good thing, but there's one problem. If you are working for 45 h per week, your wages is equal to people that working 20 h per week. Not only make you feel if that's not fair, it also make people become lazy. "Why I should work for 45 h per day, if I can work for 20 h with equal wages?" That's your feeling inside your heart. If every people are thinking like this, the economy grows will start to decrease, and at some point economy grows will stop. At worst, the economy grows are growing down, or the state economy start to crumbling. Now, the question is, when the whole thing are starting the monetary crisis.
Worst than 1998 monetary crisis. It because, when the economy start to decrease, the small country's can't pays it debt to large country, i.e. USSR. Then, the major countries will be in trouble, because it can't get it money back. The small country, worst. It will economically collapsed, because it can't borrow anymore money from large country so, it debt can't be pay with another debt.
China's cause of death, 1900-1987

5. Another Famine
In 1958-61, People Republic of China under Mao Zedong has face worst famine in history, killed 30 million people. This is results from Mao Zedong policies Great Leaps Forward. During this policy, farming are becoming communal and plant food by self are prohibited. The farmer are assigned to work in iron and steel production, because iron and steel are identified as key of economy grows. It turns out into bad policy, making the crops can't be planted and cultivated, so the food become scarce.
It not impossible, if the communism won the Cold War, this policy are established in every communist country. If in China it can killed 30 million people, how much people will killed of this policy are established in whole of the world? Maybe 1 billion people will killed and billion of people are gets in severely famine conditions.