What If Iraq Win the Iraq-Iran War (Part 1)

The Iraq-Iran War ended with stalemate. This war are occurred from 22 September 1980 - 20 August 1988. Iraq-Iran War was triggered by Iraqi invasion to Iran via air and ground. But, just short of that, the Iraq invasion can be repelled from Iranian land and after that the Iraq become the defensive belligerence. So, what if Iraq can defeated Iran?

Top oil producers.

1. Iraq Become the Regional Power
After Iran defeats, virtually the Iraq controlled whatever things in Iran. The Iraq will have great economy, because of large number of oil resources in both countries (for comparison, Iran ranks fourth in the world, with 150 billion barrels oil reserves. The Iraq itself ranks fifth, with 140 billion oil reserves. If both countries are combined, they have 290 billion barrels reserves, which rank second in the world, after Venezuela) The Iraq will be large countries, with area of 2,085,267 km², which place them in 13th place. Iraq also have high number of human resources, that ranks 12th in the world (115,698,369 people). With all of that factor, the Iraq will have high position in the world. But, this treasure have a curse, very bad curse. I will talk about that from 2nd point.

Comparation of Iraq and Iran military strength at beginning of war

2. Insurgency
Iraq, in the time of Iraq Iran war was lead by the infamous Saddam Hussein. Saddam Hussein was a Sunni Muslim. Here the things start complicated. The Muslims in Iraq are composed by 65% Shia and 35% Sunni. So the Saddam Hussein, who is Sunni Muslim, the minority, was in power. Things get more complicated after Iran integration. Iran, the Shia country, which 95% of Iran population was Shia.

The Saddam Hussein itself, was in doubt for killing and suppressing Shia and Kurdish, who struggle to getting down Saddam and/or getting independence. You can expect, the Shia and Kurdi people that under the Saddam regime want independence. The Shia and Kurdish will start an insurgency, against Saddam and Sunni Muslim. This can cause many things happens. The Saddam government who knows this start to suppress the insurgency, which in some cases counted as brutal, like maybe using chemical weapons against Shia and Kurdish, or shooting of innocent Shia and Kurdish civilians. This will be the Iraq Iran Civil War, which comparable to Iraq Civil War, but includes Iran.

Operation Desert Storm (attack of Kuwait by Coalition and Arabian countries)

3. Iraq Will Not Invading Kuwait
As the Iraqi borrow so many money and buying many weapons to US and its allies, the Iraq will not able to borrow any other money. Iraq military, who has been weakened in Iraq Iran War will not have enough power to attack the Kuwait. For Iraq, the invasion of Kuwait is worthless, as they has control many oil fields in Iran, that mined much more oils than the Kuwait do. The Iraqi also don't want to losses his relations to US, by attacking US allies.

Even if they military and financially able to attack Kuwait, and the Iraq-US relations wasn't important to Iraq, the Iraq will have to repair many of its infrastructure that has damaged during Iraq Iran War, like oil fields, cities, military base, and other things. If Saddam doesn't want to be resisted by his own citizens and allies, he wouldn't attack Kuwait (still, the Saddam hate Kuwait, just little bit). Or, if the Saddam is obsessed to invade Kuwait, few years after the Iraqi win in Iraq-Iran War, his army are able to defeated by Kuwait and US forces in Kuwait (after Iraqi win, the US obviously want to make sure that Saddam don't invade Kuwait (the real reason why US support Saddam is just to make sure the oil on Iraq don't fell into Iranian hand, so the Iraq are only tools to achieve it, not US real friends)).

Operation Iraqi Freedom (2003)

4. US Will Invade Iraq (and Iran)
Like in Iraqi Freedom, but with little bit different. The US want to attack Iraq, because US feared that Iraqi become too strong and then attacked Kuwait or Saudi Arabia. Because Iraq has controlled whole Iran, the Iran become the part of the plan. If US has conquered whole Iraqi or at least Baghdad, the Iraqi government will be changed, like the US do IRL, and for Iran, US government will sent Reza Pahlevi, Mohammad Reza Pahlevi son's, to ruling the Iran. So, the Iraq, has been controlled by pro-American president, and Iran controlled by US best friend's son.

The condition in battlefield is still same. The US Marine, with help from coalition countries (UK, Australia, Poland), and Pesmerga will attack Iraq, the coalition will entered Iraq from Kuwait, the Peshmerga itself helped coalition from Iraqi Kurdistan. After entered Iraq, the main attacking force will attack then Karbala, then Al-Fallujah, and finally Baghdad. The supporting force crossed the Eufrat River and attack An-Nasiriyah, then together with main force, attack Baghdad. The UK force, attacking Basrah after entering Iraq. But, there's a little twist here. Instead of stopped in Baghdad, the coalition will attack Iran, and conquer Tehran, then return the Pahlavi regime to power. That's for this episode, thank you for reading!

About Me

Okay, maybe you arrive here to ask something about me. Or you don't know who is behind-the-scenes man in these blog. Or you arrive at here with wandering heart, "What kind of heck this blog is it!?" So, to cover your curiousity, let's get started!

1. Who are you?

So, this is basic questions. My name is Gregorius Tendi, 

I'm live in Jakarta, Indonesia. My profession, student. I can use English, Indonesian, Russian (little bit), Chinese (just few words). So if you contact me, you can use English and Indonesian (don't use other languages, I will be wandering for its meaning).

2. What the heck is this blog?

This blog is talking about possibilities if something changes. So take examples, what if we move to Mars or what if South Korea win the Korean War. I especially talk something that contains Science and History, as this two was my expertise

3. Okay, you explain that much. But, how if I want to ask you some questions?

Just comment below↓↓↓ or e-mail me at gregoriust02@gmail.com.

4. How if I want to contact you in other way than e-mail?

Just use Instagram, Twitter, or Google+

Okay, now you should understand, who am I, and how to contact me. So, who are you? Write at the comments below!

What If Hitler Win The World War

Hitler has conquer the West Europe, North Africa, and some parts of East Europe at it peak. If combined with its allies, the Axis has control most of Asia, most of Europe, and North Africa. The Axis achievement, like conquer France in only around 1 month, reach 20 km from Moscow, developing first missile and jet aircraft, are recorded in human history. But, unfortunately (or fortunately), the Axis are able to defeated by Allies. So, how if Axis win the Second World War?

Jews disembark from the train that bring them to holocaust site

1. Thousands of Jews Will be Killed.
Not only Jews, some of other minority race and people will be exterminated. Like Russian, people with disabilities, and many other. At Japan-conquered Asia, the indigenous people will have to do forced work, killed, or become experiments rats (like in Unit 731). Millions of people will be killed, man, woman, and child, because the Hitler an Japanese regime are never looked to their age or their gender (except for homosexual, they treatment will be worse than other gender). The Germany and Japan have "creative" way to killed people, like shooting them at front of their graves, so they will be instantly fall into the graves, put them into gas chambers, forced them to be injected with dangerous biological agent, or even experimenting with them when they still alive.

2. Germany and Japanese People Will Freed From Dirty Job.
As they have many forced labor, the Germans and Japanese people will not have to work at blue-collar jobs again. They will be worked in clean office, and they will receive many things, like good house, vehicle, free education and even free vacation. The opposite is the Jews or the people that Japan and Germany government hatred. They will have to work in harsh conditions, without proper safety equipment. They also don't provided with adequate foods, water, and clothes. Their live is worthless, just like animals. All people, that German and Japan government hatred are being forced to work, even those who have disabilities. The German and Japan will also have world highest inequality, mostly because it racist government.

World map if Axis won the world war

3. Germany and Japan Become Superpower
With large number of area (Germany has conquer virtually all Europe, North African, and some part of Asia and Southern Africa. Japan has conquer all Asia, Oceania and maybe Alaska. Italy, has control North Africa, African Horn, some Arabian country, and other. There is also some countries with pro Germany government, like Hungary, Romania, Finland, Manchukuo, Argentina, Peru, and some other government), large number of troops (Germany and Japan has millionth of troops, thousands ship, large number of plane, and uncountable number of armoured vehicles), great technology (V-2 missile, jet aircraft (Messerschmitt Me-262), super heavy tank (Panzer VIII Maus) and many other), Germany and Japan will be new superpower. Their economy also will be along with the world highest economy (especially because their slaves). The Soviet Union will be not existed, British and France makes government in exile at USA.

V-2 missile launch

4. Germany Launched First Manned Mission to Space
Because Germany will have missile and rocketry technology that greater than US or USSR, Germany will be the first country that launch the satellite, animal, humans, and even space station to space (the US and USSR rockets are makes with inspiration from Germany rockets, and they also bring rockets engineer from Germany, like Wehrner Von Braun, that works in US to make many US spacecraft, notably Apollo mission). Germany will also become the first nations that stands in the moon, defeating US. Maybe, because Hitler's high enthusiasm to new technology, Germany has landed at Mars now, and make a base in the moon.

5. Germany and Japanese Entered The Cold War.
Cold War between Germany and Japanese, absolutely. As they become world superpower, USSR has virtually defeated, and US influence are decreasing, the Germany and Japanese become two axis in the world. In the Germany side there is Germany, Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, Finland, Vichy France, etc. At Japanese side, Japan, Manchukuo, Thailand, Australia, etc. They also has developed many technologies, like nuclear bomb, ICBM, SLBM, strategic bomber, supersonic aircraft, and many other at the times when the war start. As they want to expanding its influence, they will start to fighting each other, but, like Cold War, they will not fighting face-to-face. They, instead will go into proxy war at some countries, like USA, some African, South Africa, Syria, Saudi Arabia, and some other. They will turn the world into battlefield like US and Soviet do in IRL Cold War.